Can $AMZN be a Value Stock?
I previously wrote about AMZN valuation risk here, and valuation will often be a concern for high-growth companies. Implicit in that view is a concern that revenue growth might decelerate (too soon). What if 1) the target market is measured in trillions of dollars, 2) disruptive business model is working across multiple verticals, 3) earnings […]
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$AMZN Valuation Risk
Let’s assume that sellside estimates are representative of investor expectations for $AMZN (as discussed in my book, that is not always the case). The NTM EPS chart below shows consensus projections through 2020. Sellside EPS estimates reflect expectations for continued strong, if not accelerating EPS growth over the next few years. Now look […]
Read More$INFN PAM-4 Boogeyman
The $INFN PAM-4 boogeyman was probably born at the time PAM-4 was first conceived a couple of years ago. However the PAM-4 scare appears to have hit INFN shares after Microsoft announced earlier this year that it would deploy Inphi PAM-4-based optics for Data Center Interconnect (DCI). As the chart shows, INFN shares […]
Read More$BABA Corporate Governance Discount?
“Corporate Governance” represents a broad category of issues that typically indicate some form of mismanagement at a company. Investors become concerned when they do not fully understand a company’s reported financial data or do not understand or agree with the company’s (un)stated plans for use of cash. Such concerns commonly translate into a severe valuation […]
Read MoreWhat’s a Convolutional Neural Network?
The popular name for Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) these days is “Deep Learning” (DL) or Deep Neural Network (DNN). Researchers at Google, Facebook, IBM, Nvidia, and potentially a number of other companies are experimenting with their own variations of DL algorithms based on CNN. Twitter recently acquired a company called Magic Pony to increase focus […]
Read MoreIs $TWTR Really a Social Network?
Maybe, but likely in a different way than Facebook or LinkedIn. You really have to use Twitter to understand the difference. Whereas connections on Facebook and LinkedIn tend to be a lot more socially meaningful, that does not necessarily seem to be the case on Twitter. “Following” or “following back” someone on Twitter does not […]
Read More$GOOG Valuation & Momentum Indicators
The charts provide a perspective on GOOG valuation & momentum indicators, and raise a few questions. Assuming fundamentals represented by NTM EPS are correct, the stock starts to look interesting (i.e. would potentially have increasing margin of safety) below $700. The stock price vs. NTM EPS chart suggests that earnings expectations have been […]
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