Interpreting $MU 20nm DRAM Progress & Price Stabilization
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- Jun, 30, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, DRAM, Industry Analysis, NAND, Stock Analysis
As the chart illustrates, according to inSpectrum, 4Gb DDR3 DRAM spot prices increased by 5% MoM in June, with June ending prices ~15% higher than May ending prices. 4Gb DDR4 DRAM spot prices remained virtually unchanged MoM in June on average, but June ending prices were ~8% higher than May ending prices. Overall MayQ DDR3 […]
Read MoreIs $TWTR Really a Social Network?
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- Jun, 29, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Cloud Services, Deep Learning, Social Networks, Stock Analysis
Maybe, but likely in a different way than Facebook or LinkedIn. You really have to use Twitter to understand the difference. Whereas connections on Facebook and LinkedIn tend to be a lot more socially meaningful, that does not necessarily seem to be the case on Twitter. “Following” or “following back” someone on Twitter does not […]
Read More$GOOG Valuation & Momentum Indicators
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- Jun, 24, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Cloud Services, Deep Learning, Self-Driving Car
The charts provide a perspective on GOOG valuation & momentum indicators, and raise a few questions. Assuming fundamentals represented by NTM EPS are correct, the stock starts to look interesting (i.e. would potentially have increasing margin of safety) below $700. The stock price vs. NTM EPS chart suggests that earnings expectations have been […]
Read MoreAre Institutional Investors Really Doing Equity Research?
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- Jun, 23, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Equity Research Process, Financial Services
This week MU stock gap’ed up ~1,000 bps following two sellside upgrades. Last week CAVM stock gap’ed down ~2,000 bps following four sellside downgrades. Between those two examples, the MU example is more “pure” in the sense that there was no other significant company- or industry-specific news update supporting the stock move. You can find […]
Read MoreElevated Short Interest in $CAVM
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- Jun, 22, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Stock Analysis
The chart shows that short interest (number of shares sold short as a % of float) in CAVM started increasing in late-2015, and remained elevated leading into announcement of QLGC acquisition last week. The last time short interest was elevated was in 2012, which I previously wrote about here. Higher short interest would […]
Read More$CAVM: Understanding the QLGC Acquisition
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- Jun, 16, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Stock Analysis
I had started to think of CAVM as a value stock (see prior article here), but with the QLGC acquisition announced, there are a few more questions to think about. It is easy to see why investors did not like the acquisition (CAVM closed down 18% day after the announcement) – clear threat of revenue […]
Read More$ORCL: Who Cares if SaaS Apps are just Hosted Apps?
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- Jun, 13, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Industry Analysis, Stock Analysis
Software as a Service (SaaS) is a relatively new breed of Cloud-based software apps that seek to: 1) provide superior capabilities compared to traditional desktop apps 2) easily scale up required infrastructure as client needs grow 3) improve monetization of apps for providers of the apps Arguably #3 might be most important for app providers, […]
Read MoreLaying the Foundation for Asset Management
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- Jun, 10, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Equity Research Process, Financial Services
In the last chapter of my book I introduced aspirational ideas for asset management. Here I build on those ideas to sketch a conceptual equity research platform, with a set of mutually reinforcing capabilities, services, or products to be built progressively over time. Given the breadth of activities involved in investment management, from […]
Read More$MU: What’s Technology Catch-up Worth?
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- Jun, 10, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, DRAM, Industry Analysis, NAND, Stock Analysis
I first introduced this “technology catch-up” thesis in late-2012, and believe it has been in play more or less since then, and will continue to remain in play for the foreseeable future. Various other events in the industry over that period made it difficult for investors to identify or appreciate this underlying phenomenon consistently. Yet […]
Read MoreEquity Research for Technology Professionals at The Wharton School
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- Jun, 03, 2016
- Sundeep Bajikar
- 4SAFEt, Equity Research Process, Financial Services
I presented on the topic of Equity Research for Technology Professionals at The Wharton School in San Francisco on Friday, June 3. You can download the presentation by clicking the link below. Click here to download presentation
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